Course Description
The course is intended to introduce methodology to develop disaster risk scenarios.
Disaster risk scenarios are the basis for developing short and longterm disaster response plans. Without an understanding of what could happen in regards to type, scale, likelihood, and consequences, planning efforts will lack focus and context. Scenarios are based on scientific risk analysis.
A difference is made between a static disaster risk scenario and dynamic scenario. The former is a snapshot of a situaion, such as number of injured and damaged buildings at a given time, where as the latter is a timeline portraying chains of interconnected concequences.
Students learn to analyze earthquake risk, flood risk, and volcanic risk.
The course will explain how a disaster risk scenario is designed based on stakeholder perspectives. Stakeholders are devided into four: 1) the owner or party responsible for ensuring that the plan is made, 2) the writers of the plan, 3) the user of the plan, and 4) the beneficiaries of the implementation of the plan. Relevant stakeholders need to be determined before scenario development begins.
The course addresses how to present disaster risk scenarios. Examples of existing scenarios are given and students are encouraged to find new and improved approaches to present scenarios.
Students will work on projects to develop skills in creating scenario for different hazards and stakeholders.
Course content
1. Disaster Risk Management
a. Goals, objectives, and principles
b. Definitions and literature
c. Knowledge Institutions, websites
d. Mitigation option analysis
e. Types of disaster response plans: Impact, Rescue, Relief and Recovery operations.
2. Engineering approach to disaster scenario development
a. Loss estimation methodology
b. Hazard analysis: earthquake, flood and volcanic.
c. Exposure compilation
d. Vulnerability modelling
e. Disaster scenario presentation
3. Stakeholder analysis
a. Type: Owner, Developer, User, Beneficiary
b. Stakeholder based exposure identification
4. Disaster risk scenario projects for different hazards and stakeholders
Face-to-face learning
The course is taught if the specified conditions are met
Prerequisites